ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals
Medvedev – de Jong: 19.01.2026 01:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Daniil Medvedev has won five straight matches. Last week in Brisbane, Medvedev won the title, defeating Nakashima in the final in straight sets. Last season at the Australian Open, Medvedev lost to Tien in the second round in a tight five-set match.
Jesper de Jong has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, de Jong lost to Tirante in the opening qualifying round. Last season in Melbourne, he failed to qualify for the main draw. He has never made it past the second round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing on fast courts and dominated last week in Brisbane under similar conditions. De Jong has no weapons for the Russian. We expect Medvedev to dominate and win easily.
That being said, Medvedev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev -7.5 games handicap @1.67
Budkov Kjaer – Opelka: 19.01.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has won three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Budkov Kjaer qualified for the main draw. In the final qualifying round, the Norwegian defeated Herbert in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints.
Reilly Opelka has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Opelka lost to Paul in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Melbourne, Opelka lost to Machac in the second round, 5 tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Opelka is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Budkov Kjaer has no experience at the Grand Slam, which is crucial mainly. On the other hand, Opelka enjoys playing on fast courts, and with his heavy serve, we expect him to get a comfortable win.
That being said, Opelka winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Reilly Opelka winning @1.53 @bet365
Tien – Giron: 19.01.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Learner Tien has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Brisbane, Tien lost to Michelsen in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Melbourne, the American lost to Sonego in the fourth round in four sets.
Marcos Giron has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Giron lost to Baez in the semifinals in straight sets. Last season in Melbourne, Giron lost to Sinner in the third round in straight sets.
Best Bet To Make
According to the bookies, Giron is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He has more experience at the Grand Slam level. Last season in Madrid, Giron defeated Tien in three tight sets. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Giron covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/the best odds: Marcos Giron +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
