Revolutionaries, monsters, vampires and accused undercover alien beings are set to dominate this year’s Oscar nominations, headlined by two Warner Bros. films vying to etch their names in Academy history.
Ryan Coogler’s audacious vampire drama “Sinners” is projected to make Academy Awards history with a staggering 15 nominations — surpassing “All About Eve,” “Titanic” and “La La Land” to become the most nominated film of all time. The Michael B. Jordan-led thriller could appear in major categories including best picture, director and all craft categories, with potential for additional mentions in supporting actor for Miles Caton and/or Delroy Lindo and a second original song nomination, possibly making the number even larger.
Close behind is Paul Thomas Anderson’s political epic “One Battle After Another,” forecast to earn 13 nominations in a commanding awards season performance. The sweeping drama could achieve a rare feat by landing five of its actors across all four acting categories — Leonardo DiCaprio, Chase Infiniti, Benicio Del Toro, Sean Penn and Teyana Taylor — becoming just the 16th film in Oscar history to accomplish this distinction and the first since “American Hustle” in 2013.
Chloé Zhao’s intimate grief drama “Hamnet” is expected to register strongly across the board, with the former Oscar-winning auteur poised to become only the second woman to earn multiple best director nominations. The Shakespeare-inspired film could net nominations for front-runner Jessie Buckley in best actress and Paul Mescal in supporting actor, along with technical recognition.
Guillermo del Toro’s “Frankenstein” and Josh Safdie’s “Marty Supreme” round out a competitive best director lineup, while the best picture field of 10 reflects the year’s genre diversity — from the racing spectacle “F1” to Emma Stone’s sci-fi comedy “Bugonia” to the international Brazilian thriller “The Secret Agent.”
Four films are projected to earn 10 or more nominations this year — only the second time in Oscar history that’s happened. The first was with the 2019 slate, when “Joker” led with 11 nods, followed by “The Irishman,” “1917” and “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” each with 10.
With nominations spanning political dramas, creature features, sports spectacles and intimate character studies, this year’s Oscar nominations promise one of the most eclectic and competitive fields.
Here are Variety’s final predictions (in alphabetical order).
The official rankings can be found on each individual category page (will be updated between Jan. 20-21).
NOTE: All credited producers and artisans are subject to change. The final determination will be made by the Academy and released as part of their nominations announcement.
Best Picture
Timothee Chalamet in “Marty Supreme”
- “Bugonia” (Focus Features)
Ed Guiney, Andrew Lowe, Yorgos Lanthimos, Emma Stone, Lars Knudsen
“F1” (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
Jerry Bruckheimer, Dede Gardner, Joseph Kosinski, Jeremy Kleiner, Brad Pitt
“Frankenstein” (Netflix)
Guillermo Del Toro, J. Miles Dale, Scott Stuber
“Hamnet” (Focus Features)
Liza Marshall, Pippa Harris, Sam Mendes, Steven Spielberg, Nicolas Gonda
“Marty Supreme” (A24)
Ronald Bronstein, Eli Bush, Timothée Chalamet, Anthony Katagas, Josh Safdie
“One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)
Adam Somner, Sara Murphy, Paul Thomas Anderson
“The Secret Agent” (Neon)
Emilie Lesclaux
“Sentimental Value” (Neon)
Maria Ekerhovd, Andrea Berentsen Ottmar
“Sinners” (Warner Bros.)
Ryan Coogler, Zinzi Coogler, Sev Ohanian
“Train Dreams” (Netflix)
Marissa McMahon, Teddy Schwarzman, Willian Janowitz, Ashley Schlaifer, Michael Heimler
Alternate: “Blue Moon”
Achievement in Directing
Joachim Trier, director of “Sentimental Value”
- Paul Thomas Anderson, “One Battle After Another”
Ryan Coogler, “Sinners”
Guillermo Del Toro, “Frankenstein”
Joachim Trier, “Sentimental Value”
Chloé Zhao, “Hamnet”
Alternate: Josh Safdie, “Marty Supreme”
Actor in a Leading Role
Ethan Hawke, as Lorenz Hart in “Blue Moon”
- Timothée Chalamet, “Marty Supreme”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “One Battle After Another”
Ethan Hawke, “Blue Moon”
Michael B. Jordan, “Sinners”
Wagner Moura, “The Secret Agent”
Alternate: Jesse Plemons, “Bugonia”
Actress in a Leading Role
Rose Byrne in “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You”
- Jessie Buckley, “Hamnet”
Rose Byrne, “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You”
Chase Infiniti, “One Battle After Another”
Renate Reinsve, “Sentimental Value”
Emma Stone, “Bugonia”
Alternate: Kate Hudson, “Song Sung Blue”
Actor in a Supporting Role
Paul Mescal in “Hamnet”
Focus Features
- Benicio Del Toro, “One Battle After Another”
Jacob Elordi, “Frankenstein”
Paul Mescal, “Hamnet”
Sean Penn, “One Battle After Another”
Stellan Skarsgård, “Sentimental Value”
Alternate: Andrew Scott, “Blue Moon”
Actress in a Supporting Role
Ariana Grande is Glinda in WICKED FOR GOOD
- Ariana Grande, “Wicked: For Good”
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, “Sentimental Value”
Amy Madigan, “Weapons”
Wunmi Mosaku, “Sinners”
Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”
Alternate: Gwyneth Paltrow, “Marty Supreme”
Original Screenplay
Josh Brolin in “Weapons”
- “Blue Moon” (Robert Kaplow)
“Marty Supreme” (Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie)
“Sentimental Value” (Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt)
“Sinners” (Ryan Coogler)
“Weapons” (Zach Cregger)
Alternate: “The Secret Agent”
Adapted Screenplay
Emma Stone in “Bugonia”
- “Bugonia” (Will Tracy)
“Frankenstein” (Guillermo Del Toro)
“Hamnet” (Maggie O’Farrell and Chloé Zhao)
“One Battle After Another” (Paul Thomas Anderson)
“Train Dreams” (Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar)
Alternate: “Nuremberg”
Casting
“Hamnet”
- “Hamnet” (Nina Gold)
“Marty Supreme” (Jennifer Venditti)
“One Battle After Another” (Cassandra Kulukundis)
“The Secret Agent” (Gabriel Domingues)
“Sinners” (Francine Maisler)
Alternate: “Sirāt”
Animated Feature
“Zootopia 2” (Walt Disney Pictures)
- “Arco” (Ugo Bienvenu, Félix de Givry, Sophia Mas, Natalie Portman)
“Elio” (Mary Alice Drumm, Adrian Molina, Madelina Sharafian, Domee Shi)
“KPop Demon Hunters” (Chris Appelhans, Maggie Kang, Michelle L.M. Wong)
“Little Amélie or the Character of Rain” (Claire LaCombe, Edwina Liard, Henri Magalon, Nidia Santiago, Maïlys Vallade)
“Zootopia 2” (Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino)
Alternate: “Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle”
Production Design
FRANKENSTEIN. Jacob Elordi as The Creature in Frankenstein. Cr. Ken Woroner/Netflix © 2025.
Ken Woroner/Netflix
- “Bugonia” (James Price, Prue Howard, Sarah Carter)
“Frankenstein” (Tamara Deverell, Shane Vieau)
“Hamnet” (Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton)
“Marty Supreme” (Jack Fisk, Adam Willis)
“Sinners” (Hannah Bleachler, Monique Champagne)
Alternate: “Wicked: For Good”
Cinematography
“Train Dreams” (Netflix)
- “Frankenstein” (Dan Laustsen)
“Marty Supreme” (Darius Khondji)
“One Battle After Another” (Michael Bauman)
“Sinners” (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
“Train Dreams” (Adolpho Veloso)
Alternate: “Hamnet”
Costume Design
“Nuremberg” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- “Frankenstein” (Kate Hawley)
“Hamnet” (Malgosia Turzanska)
“Nuremberg” (Bartholomew Cariss)
“Sinners” (Ruth E. Carter)
“Wicked: For Good” (Paul Tazewell)
Alternate: “The Testament of Ann Lee”
Film Editing
“One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)
- “F1” (Stephen Mirrione)
“Hamnet” (Affonso Gonçalves and Chloé Zhao)
“Marty Supreme” (Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie)
“One Battle After Another” (Andy Jurgensen)
“Sinners” (Michael P. Shawver)
Alternate: “Frankenstein”
Makeup and Hairstyling
Dwayne Johnson in “The Smashing Machine”
- “Frankenstein” (Mike Hill, Cliona Furey, Jordan Samuel)
“Marty Supreme” (Mike Fontaine, Kay Georgiou, Kyra Pachenko)
“Sinners” (Ken Diaz, Mike Fontaine, Shunika Terry)
“The Smashing Machine” (Kazu Hiro, Glen Griffin, Bjoern Rehbein)
“The Ugly Stepsister” (Anne Catherine Sauerberg, Thomas Foldberg)
Alternate: “Wicked: For Good”
Sound
Brad Pitt in “F1”
- “F1” (Gareth John, Al Nelson, Juan Peralta, Gary A. Rizzo, Gwendowlyn Yates Whittle)
“Frankenstein” (Greg Chapman, Christian Cooke, Nelson Ferreira, Nathan Robitaile, Brad Zoern)
“One Battle After Another” (Jose Antonio Garcia, Christopher Scarabosio, Tony Villaflor)
“Sinners” (Benny Burt, Steve Boeddeker, David V. Butler, Felipe Pacheco, Chris Welcker)
“Sirât” (Amanda Villavieja, Laia Casanovas and Yasmina Praderas)
Alternate: “Wicked: For Good”
Visual Effects
David Corenswet in “Superman”
- “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon, Daniel Barrett)
“F1” (Ryan Tudhope, Nicolas Chevallier, Robert Harrington, Keith Dawson)
“Sinners” (Michael Ralla, Espen Nordahl, Guido Wolter, Donnie Dean)
“Superman” (Stéphane Ceretti, Guy Williams, Enrico Damm, Stéphane Nazé)
“Wicked: For Good” (Pablo Helman, Jonathan Fawkner, Dale Newton, Paul Corbould)
Alternate: “Frankenstein”
Original Score
Sirât
- “Frankenstein” (Alexandre Desplat)
“Hamnet” (Max Richter)
“One Battle After Another” (Jonny Greenwood)
“Sinners” (Ludwig Göransson)
“Sirât” (Kangding Ray)
Alternate: “Train Dreams”
Original Song
“KPop Demon Hunters”
- “Dear Me” from “Diane Warren: Relentless” (Diane Warren)
“Dying to Live” from “Billy Idol Should be Dead” (Tommy English, Billy Idol, Joe Janiak, J. Ralph and Steve Stevens)
“The Girl in the Bubble” from “Wicked: For Good” (Stephen Schwartz)
“Golden” from “KPop Demon Hunters” (EJAE and Mark Sonnenblick)
“I Lied to You” from “Sinners” (Ludwig Göransson and Raphael Saadiq)
Alternate: “Train Dreams” from “Train Dreams”
Documentary Feature
“The Perfect Neighbor”
- “Cutting Through Rocks” (Mohammadreza Eyni, Sara Khaki)
“The Perfect Neighbor” (Geeta Gandbhir, Sam Bisbee, Nikon Kwantu, Alisa Payne)
“Seeds” (Brittany Shaye, Sabrina Schmidt Gordon, Danielle Varga)
“2000 Meters to Andriivka” (Mstyslav Chernov, Raney Aronson, Michelle Mizner)
“Yanuni” (Richard Ladkani, Jennifer Davisson, Leonardo DiCaprio, Anita Ladkani)
Alternate: “The Alabama Solution”
International Feature
“It Was Just an Accident”
- “It Was Just an Accident” from France (dir. Jafar Panahi)
“The Secret Agent” from Brazil (dir. Kleber Mendonça Filho)
“Sentimental Value” from Norway (dir. Joachim Trier)
“Sirât” from Spain (dir. Oliver Laxe)
“The Voice of Hind Rajab” from Tunisia (dir. Kaouther Ben-Hania)
Alternate: “Kokuho”
Animated Short
“Éiru”
- “Cardboard” (Jean-Philippe Vine, Michaela Manas Malina)
“Éiru” (Giovanna Ferrari, Nora Twomey)
“Hurikán” (Jan Saska, Antoine Liétout)
“Retirement Plan” (John Kelly, Andrew Freedman)
“The Shyness of Trees” (Sofiia Chuikovska, Loïck Du Plessis D’Argentré)
Alternate: “Autokar”
Documentary Short
“All the Empty Rooms”
- “All the Empty Rooms” (Joshua Seftel, Trevor Burgess)
“All the Walls Came Down” (Ondi Timoner, Eli Timoner)
“Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud” (Brent Renaud, Craig Renaud)
“Cashing Out” (Matt Nadel, Luke Hodges)
“The Devil is Busy” (Geeta Gandbhir, Christalyn Hampton)
Alternate: “Last Days on Lake Trinity”
Live Action Short
“Two People Exchanging Saliva”
- “Extremist” (Aleksandr Molochnikov, Jean Chapiro)
“Pantyhose” (Fabian Munsterhjelm, Jenni Ripatti)
“Rock, Paper, Scissors” (Franz Böhm, Hayder Rothschild Hoozeer)
“The Singers” (Sam A. Davis, David Breschel)
“Two People Exchanging Saliva” (Natalie Musteata, Alexandre Singh)
Alternate: “Jane Austen’s Period Drama”
Film scorecard prediction (Top 5):
- “Sinners” (15)
“One Battle After Another” (13)
“Hamnet” and “Frankenstein” (10)
“Marty Supreme” (8)
“Sentimental Value” (7)
Studio scorecard prediction (Top 5):
- Warner Bros. (34)
Netflix (19)
Neon (16)
Focus Features (14)
A24 (10)
