Chainlink (LINK) is trading under pressure at $12.20, reflecting heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market at the time of writing on Thursday. The oracle token faces deepening bearish pressure as technical indicators deteriorate and market sentiment weakens.
Chainlink staking outflows accelerate as retail traders exit positions
Demand for Chainlink staking solutions has remained largely subdued since August. Continued outflows have drained the staking balance, which is averaging $532 million on Thursday, down from $601 million on January 6.
The Chainlink staking balance exceeded the $1 billion mark in August, underscoring the significant decline in investor confidence.
Chainlink staking balance | Source: DefiLlama
Chainlink’s derivatives market has similarly experienced significant drawdowns, as futures Open Interest (OI) has declined to $559 million on Thursday, from $566 million the previous day and $708 million on January 6.
OI represents the notional value of outstanding futures contracts, which gauges investor interest in the token. CoinGlass data shows that OI hit a record $1.91 billion in August before declining as sentiment across the crypto market deteriorated.
Chainlink futures Open Interest | Source: CoinGlass
Technical outlook: LINK risks a 10% drawdown
Chainlink’s downside woes stem from fading retail interest and a lack of investor confidence, which could explain the drop in the protocol’s staking balance and Open Interest. The token sits on a weakening technical structure, with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $13.39, the 100-day EMA at $14.51, and the 200-day EMA at $15.77.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39 and pointing downward, indicating a bearish momentum buildup. Further decline in this indicator could see LINK fall 10% from its current level, testing support at $10.94.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains below its signal line, reinforcing the overall bearish outlook. Investors will be prompted to reduce exposure if the histogram bars continue expanding below the zero line.
LINK/USDT daily chart
Still, if bulls buy the dip and add to the tailwind, LINK may change its course, eyeing to break the 50-day EMA hurdle at $13.39. A decisive move above this level would encourage more investors to increase exposure while anticipating a larger breakout above the remaining moving average cluster between $14.51 and $15.77.
Cryptocurrency metrics FAQs
