2026 Open Sud de France: Nardi [106th] vs. Cobolli [20th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Round of 16 at the Open Sud de France on Thursday, Flavio Cobolli (ranked No. 20) takes on Luca Nardi (No. 106).

Cobolli is favored (-150) against Nardi (+115) in this Round of 16 match.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:36 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Luca Nardi vs. Flavio Cobolli matchup info

• Tournament: Open Sud de France
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Thursday, February 5
• Court Surface: Hard

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Nardi vs. Cobolli Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Nardi has a 60.0% to win.

Nardi vs. Cobolli Betting Odds

• Nardi’s odds to win match: +115
• Cobolli’s odds to win match: -150
• Nardi’s odds to win tournament: +1400
• Cobolli’s odds to win tournament: +450

Nardi vs. Cobolli matchup performance & stats

• Nardi is 11-14 on hard courts over the past 12 months.
• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Nardi has won 68.9% of his service games and 24.4% of his return games.
• On hard courts over the past year, Nardi has converted 57 of 162 break points (35.2%).
• In his last tournament (the Australian Open), Nardi was eliminated by Yibing Wu 5-7, 6-4, 4-6, 2-6 on January 19, in the Round of 128.
• Cobolli is 9-13 in 13 tournaments on hard courts over the past year.
• While playing on hard courts, Cobolli has a 72.7% winning percentage in service games and a 23.5% winning percentage in return games.
• On hard courts Cobolli ranks 74th in break point winning percentage (35.7%) after going 56-for-157.
• In the Round of 128 of his most recent tournament (the Australian Open) on January 17, Cobolli was beaten by No. 185-ranked Arthur Fery 6-7, 4-6, 1-6.