- Valparaiso is a -9.5 point favorite vs Evansville
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
- Evansville / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Evansville Purple Aces visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Valparaiso, IN.
Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Evansville vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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Evansville vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
SpreadTotal (O/U)MoneylineEvansville+9.5 -110O 136.5 -115+375Valparaiso -9.5 -110U 136.5 -105-500
Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Valparaiso will win this college basketball game with 74.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Evansville vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence for today’s game.
Bet now on Valparaiso vs Evansville and all games with BetMGM
Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- Evansville have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.25 Units / -18.32% ROI).
- 3-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -54.53% ROI
- 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
- 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 15-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.3 Units / 30.1% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -12.97% ROI
- 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 68.2 points per game (6,003 points/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1
Evansville has averaged 67.0 points per game (1,541 points/23 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 76.3
Evansville averaged 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (260 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Evansville averaged 28% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (546 free throw attempts/1,937 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville forced 12.2 turnovers per game (404 turnovers/33 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Evansville allowed 8.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Evansville has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (1,023 turnovers/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Evansville averaged 6.6 steals per game (218 steals/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed 6.4 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (564/1,294) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 43%
Valparaiso has forced 11.9 turnovers per game (273 turnovers/23 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.2
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (147/473) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%
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