Heat vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks – Feb. 8

Data Skrive
The Miami Heat (27-26) are traveling to face the Washington Wizards (14-37) for a contest between Southeast Division foes at Capital One Arena on February 8, 2026. It’s the first matchup between the teams this year. Sunday’s game between the Heat and the Wizards sees the Heat as a double-digit favorite by 11 points. The over/under is 235.5 points for the matchup.
Here is everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Wizards game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Wizards Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Sunday, February 8, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
- Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
- TV: FDSSUN and MNMT
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Heat vs Wizards Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -11 -108 -112 235.5 -110 -110 -461 +360
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Heat vs. Wizards Prediction
ATS Pick: Wizards (+ 11)
O/U Pick: Over (235.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 122 – Wizards 114
Heat vs. Wizards Betting Insights
- The Heat have played 30 games with more than 235.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, this year.
- The Wizards have played in 24 games this year (47.1% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 235.5 points.
- These teams average a combined 231.9 points per game, 3.6 fewer points than the over/under of 235.5 set for this matchup.
- The Heat and the Wizards have seen their opponents average a combined 4.8 more points per game than the point total of 235.5 set in this game.
- Miami has come away with 15 wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
- Washington has been victorious in 13, or 27.1%, of the 48 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
- In the last four head-to-head meetings, Miami has a 3-1 record against Washington.
- The Heat also hold a 3-1 edge against the spread when playing the Wizards.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
- Miami’s average total over the last 10 games is 0.8 points fewer than the 235.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
- The Heat have played 53 games, with 30 wins against the spread.
- Heat games this year have gone over the total in 28 out of 51 opportunities (54.9%).
- The Heat record 119.5 points per game, just 3.2 fewer points than the 122.7 the Wizards give up.
- Miami has an 18-3 record against the spread and a 16-4 record overall when scoring more than 122.7 points.
- The Heat make 46.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.4 percentage points lower than the Wizards have allowed to their opponents (47.7%).
- The Heat sport a worse record against the spread at home (14-12-0) than they do in road games (16-10-1).
- Miami has hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (53.8%) than games on the road (51.9%).
- The Heat have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 11-8 (.579). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 4-2 (.667).
Heat Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 119.5 4 Points Allowed 117.6 22 Rebounds 46.5 3 Assists 28.6 8 Steals 9.1 6 Blocks 4.2 24
Heat Leaders
- Bam Adebayo puts up 18.1 points, 2.7 assists and 9.8 boards per contest.
- Norman Powell averages 23 points, 3.6 boards and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 47.5% from the field and 39.3% from downtown with 2.8 made treys per contest.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.4 points, 4.7 assists and 5.4 boards per game.
- Andrew Wiggins averages 15.8 points, 2.8 assists and 4.9 boards.
- Kel’el Ware posts 11.1 points, 9.1 boards and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 53.2% from the field and 40.3% from downtown with 1.1 made treys per contest.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Norman Powell 21.5 -130 23 Bam Adebayo 20.5 -120 18.1 Andrew Wiggins 16.5 -102 15.8 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 14.5 -130 15.4 Davion Mitchell 9.5 -114 9.1
Wizards Recent Trends
- The Wizards are 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 games.
- Washington and its opponents have combined to score an average of 227.4 combined points in its last 10 games, 8.1 less than the 235.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Wizards have 22 wins against the spread in 51 games this season.
- Washington is 10-14 ATS when underdogs by 11 points or more this season.
- Wizards games this year have hit the over on 26 of 51 set point totals (51%).
- The Wizards’ 112.4 points per game are 5.2 fewer points than the 117.6 the Heat allow.
- Washington has put together a 10-2 ATS record and a 7-5 overall record in games it scores more than 117.6 points.
- The Wizards’ 45.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Heat have given up to their opponents.
- The Wizards have performed better against the spread at home (12-14-0) than on the road (10-15-0) this year.
- Looking at the over/under, Washington’s games have finished over less often at home (13 of 26, 50%) than on the road (13 of 25, 52%).
Wizards Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 112.4 25 Points Allowed 122.7 29 Rebounds 43.6 16 Assists 25.2 21 Steals 7.7 21 Blocks 6 2
Wizards Leaders
- On a per-game basis, Alex Sarr gets the Wizards 17.3 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 2.1 blocked shots (second in NBA).
- The Wizards are receiving 15.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game from Kyshawn George this season.
- Bub Carrington is putting up 10.1 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.6 assists per contest. He is draining 40% of his shots from the floor and 40.2% from 3-point range, with 2.1 treys per contest.
- Justin Champagnie gives the Wizards 7.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game while putting up 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- Tre Johnson gets the Wizards 12.9 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
Wizards Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Kyshawn George 14.5 +100 15.1 Bub Carrington 13.5 +104 10.1 Bilal Coulibaly 10.5 -110 9.7 Justin Champagnie 9.5 -122 7.6
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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