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The Memphis Grizzlies (21-33) will visit the Miami Heat (30-27) after losing four consecutive road games. The Heat are currently double-digit 11.5-point favorites against the Grizzlies. A 236.5-point over/under is set for the game.
Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
- TV: FDSSUN, FDSSE, and WPLG
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Heat vs Grizzlies Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -11.5 -112 -108 236.5 -110 -110 -599 +450
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Heat vs. Grizzlies Prediction
ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 11.5)
O/U Pick: Under (236.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 121 – Grizzlies 113
Heat vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights
- Heat games have gone over 236.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 29 times (out of 57) this year.
- The Grizzlies games have gone over 236.5 total points scored in 21 of 54 total matchups this season.
- The Heat and the Grizzlies combine to average 1.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 236.5 set for this matchup.
- Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.3 fewer points per game (234.2) than this game’s total of 236.5 points.
- Miami has won 17, or 60.7%, of the 28 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
- Memphis has been an underdog in 36 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (25%) in those contests.
- After the last one head-to-head meetings, Miami has a 1-0 record against Memphis.
- The Heat have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when hitting the court against the Grizzlies.
- The Grizzlies have covered in four games in a row against the point spread, and were the favorite in one of those games.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
- Miami has averaged a total of 235.2 combined points in its last 10 games, 1.3 less than this matchup’s total of 236.5.
- Against the spread, the Heat are 33-23-1 this season.
- This season, Miami won ATS in its only game as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
- Heat games this year have gone over the point total 29 times in 54 opportunities (53.7%).
- The 119.7 points per game the Heat average are only 2.3 more points than the Grizzlies give up (117.4).
- When Miami totals more than 117.4 points, it is 25-6 against the spread and 22-7 overall.
- This season, the Heat have a 46.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.6% lower than the 46.9% of shots the Grizzlies’ opponents have hit.
- The Heat sport a worse record against the spread at home (14-13-0) than they do in away games (19-10-1).
- Miami has eclipsed the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 14 of 27 home matchups (51.9%). In away games, it has hit the over in 15 of 30 games (50%).
- The Heat have fared worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, putting up a home record of 11-9, compared to going 6-2 away from home.
Heat Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 119.7 3 Points Allowed 116.8 20 Rebounds 47.1 2 Assists 28.6 7 Steals 9.1 6 Blocks 4.2 24
Heat Leaders
- Bam Adebayo averages 18.4 points, 2.8 assists and 9.9 rebounds per game.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 15.1 points, 5.4 boards and 4.7 assists per game, shooting 50.6% from the field.
- Norman Powell averages 22.8 points, 3.6 boards and 2.6 assists per game, shooting 47.2% from the field and 39.3% from downtown with 2.9 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Andrew Wiggins averages 15.9 points, 2.7 assists and 5.0 rebounds.
- Kel’el Ware posts 11.4 points, 9.3 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.8 steals and 1.0 block.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Norman Powell 21.5 -108 22.8 Bam Adebayo 19.5 -130 18.4 Tyler Herro 17.5 -104 22.1 Andrew Wiggins 15.5 -128 15.9 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 13.5 -102 15.1
Grizzlies Recent Trends
- The Grizzlies have gone 3-7 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
- Memphis and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.0 less than the 236.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Grizzlies have 25 wins against the spread in 54 games this season.
- Memphis has covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 11.5 points or more (in two chances).
- Grizzlies games this season have gone over the point total 46.3% of the time (25 out of 54 games with a set point total).
- The Grizzlies score only 1.4 fewer points per game (115.4) than the Heat give up (116.8).
- Memphis is 13-9 against the spread and 13-9 overall when it scores more than 116.8 points.
- The Grizzlies are shooting 45.9% from the field, 0.2% higher than the 45.7% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
- Against the spread, the Grizzlies have had better results away (13-13-1) than at home (12-15-0) .
- Looking at the over/under, Memphis’ games have finished over more frequently at home (14 of 27, 51.9%) than on the road (11 of 27, 40.7%).
- The Grizzlies, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (8-5) than on the road (4-1) this year.
Grizzlies Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 115.4 15 Points Allowed 117.4 21 Rebounds 45.0 9 Assists 28.7 6 Steals 8.4 15 Blocks 5.0 12
Grizzlies Leaders
- On a per-game basis, Cam Spencer gives the Grizzlies 11.6 points, 2.7 rebounds and 5.7 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
- On a per-game basis, Santi Aldama gets the Grizzlies 14.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
- Jaylen Wells gets the Grizzlies 12.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
- Walter Clayton Jr. gives the Grizzlies 6.9 points, 2.0 rebounds and 3.3 assists per contest while averaging 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
- GG Jackson is putting up 9.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He is making 48.5% of his shots from the field and 33.0% from 3-point range, with 1.0 triples per game.
Grizzlies Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Ty Jerome 16.5 +100 19.7 Santi Aldama 13.5 -114 14.0 Jaylen Wells 12.5 -130 12.1 Cedric Coward 10.5 -102 13.3 Cam Spencer 9.5 -112 11.6
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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