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2026 BNP Paribas Open: Bouzkova [33rd] vs. Townsend [87th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Thursday, Marie Bouzkova (No. 33 in the world) faces Taylor Townsend (No. 87) in the Round of 128 at the BNP Paribas Open.

Townsend is the favorite (-115) against Bouzkova (-110) in this Round of 128 match.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 10:39 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Marie Bouzkova vs. Taylor Townsend matchup info

  • Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
  • Round: Round of 128
  • Date: Thursday, March 5
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Bouzkova vs. Townsend Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Bouzkova has a 53.5% to win.

Bouzkova vs. Townsend Betting Odds

  • Bouzkova’s odds to win match: -110
  • Townsend’s odds to win match: -115

Bouzkova vs. Townsend matchup performance & stats

  • On hard courts over the past year, Bouzkova has won one title, and her record is 20-16.
  • Bouzkova has won 62.9% of her service games on hard courts and 41.3% of her return games over the past 12 months.
  • Bouzkova has converted 154 of 304 break points on hard courts (50.7%) over the past 12 months and is 13th in break points won.
  • In her most recent tournament (the Merida Open Akron), Bouzkova made a run before losing to Magdalena Frech in the quarterfinals 3-6, 6-4, 3-6 on February 27.
  • Townsend has posted a 20-8 record in seven tournaments on hard courts over the past year.
  • Townsend has finished 245-for-326 in service games while playing on hard courts (75.2% winning percentage), and 111-for-330 in return games (33.6%).
  • On hard courts Townsend has won 42.0% of break points (103 out of 245) which ranks 69th.
  • Townsend was one step away from the title in her last tournament (the ATX Open), but she was defeated by No. 62-ranked Peyton Stearns 6-7, 5-7 on March 1.

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