The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-finals keep offering a mix of solid favourites and sneaky value. Halys looks capable of keeping things close, given his level this week. Sinner is in dominant form and should cruise, while Tien’s recent performances suggest he has the edge to control his matchup.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals
Davidovich Fokina – Halys: 21.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Tien in the 1/8-Finals in three sets. He has never made it past the third round here.
Quentin Halys has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Frenchman defeated Draxl in three sets after losing the opening set. Halys lost only two games in the second and third sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Halys is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated in the opening round and has defeated Davidovich Fokina on hard courts already. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Halys covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Quentin Halys +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Dzumhur – Sinner: 21.03.2026 18:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Damir Dzumhur has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Cap Cana, Dzumhur lost to Wong in the opening round in three sets. This week in Miami, the Bosnian turned the match around against Buse after losing the opening set. He even saved one match point in the second set.
Jannik Sinner has won six straight matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Sinner won the title without dropping a single set.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The Italian is one of the biggest favourites to win the title this week and is in great form. On the other hand, Dzumhur has no weapons.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -7.5 games handicap @2.20 @bet365
Majchrzak – Tien: 21.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Kamil Majchrzak has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Majchrzak defeated Kecmanovic in the opening round in three sets. Last season in Miami, Majchrzak failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.
Learner Tien has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Tien lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets. Last season in Miami, the American lost to Fonseca in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tien is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He had a great run last week in Miami. On the other hand, Majchrzak has not had any remarkable results this season. We expect Tien to dominate in this match.
That being said, Tien covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Learner Tien -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
