2026 Miami Open presented by Itau: Moutet [33rd] vs. Sinner [2nd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Miami Open presented by Itau Round of 32 on Monday, we have a matchup featuring No. 2-ranked Jannik Sinner against No. 33 Corentin Moutet.

Sinner is the favorite against Moutet for this match, with -10000 odds compared to the underdog’s +1500.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 10:36 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Corentin Moutet vs. Jannik Sinner matchup info

• Tournament: Miami Open presented by Itau
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Monday, March 23
• Court Surface: Hard

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Moutet vs. Sinner Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Moutet has a 99.0% to win.

Moutet vs. Sinner Betting Odds

• Moutet’s odds to win match: +1500
• Sinner’s odds to win match: -10000
• Moutet’s odds to win tournament: +4000
• Sinner’s odds to win tournament: -450

Moutet vs. Sinner matchup performance & stats

• In 15 hard-court tournaments over the past 12 months, Moutet is 18-16 in matches.
• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Moutet has won 73.9% of his service games and 29.2% of his return games.
• Moutet has converted 45.9% of his break-point opportunities on hard courts (102 of 222) over the past year.
• Moutet was defeated in the Round of 64 of his previous tournament (the BNP Paribas Open) 1-6, 4-6 by No. 72-ranked Aleksandar Kovacevic on March 7.
• Sinner has won five tournaments on hard courts over the past 12 months, putting up a 46-5 record on that surface.
• Sinner is 520-for-566 in service games on hard courts (91.9%) and 200-for-575 in return games (34.8%).
• On hard courts Sinner has won 42.6% of break points (172 out of 404) to rank third.
• Sinner took home the title in the BNP Paribas Open, his most recent tournament, taking down No. 11-ranked Daniil Medvedev (7-6, 7-6) in the final on March 15.