Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction, Best Bets & Home Run Pick for Tonight’s MLB Game

JD Yonke
• Betting Analyst

7+ years betting experience

Updated:
Mar 31, 2026 , 09:09 PM ET

• 4 min read

Our Guardians vs. Dodgers predictions expect offense to be hard to come by at Dodger Stadium tonight.

Photo By – Reuters Connect. Shohei Ohtani on the mound during Spring Training.

The Cleveland Guardians take on the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight in Chavez Ravine for the second game of a three-game series.

Shohei Ohtani makes his season debut on the mound for the hosts, while Tanner Bibee makes his second start of the season for the visitors.

See why my Guardians vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks are targeting the Under on Tuesday, March 31.

Guardians vs Dodgers predictions

Guardians vs Dodgers best bet: Under 8 (-105)

Shohei Ohtani’s arsenal of pitches is downright filthy (115 Stuff+), and he was dominant at home a season ago (.151 BAA, 1.71 ERA). 

There’s a fully stocked bullpen behind him after Sunday’s off day and yesterday’s three-pitcher outing, so they should limit a Cleveland Guardians lineup with poor numbers (.279 wOBA, 79 wRC+). 

Tanner Bibee (104 Stuff+) has been a dependable arm, recording an xERA below 3.75 in each of the last three seasons (87 starts). The weather favors these two strong starting pitchers, as there’ll be rain in Southern California.

COVERS INTEL: Tanner Bibee ranked in the 67th percentile or better in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, walk rate, and hard-hit rate. Shohei Ohtani didn’t have enough innings to qualify, but he’d be in the 90th percentile or above in every category.

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Guardians vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)

Ohtani was positively electric on the mound a year ago, and effectiveness (areer 3.00 ERA, 3.18 FIP) hasn’t been the issue — it’s all about health. 

He’s healthy now, striking out 11 batters in his most recent exhibition outing. That gives the Los Angeles Dodgers a leg up on the mound, and they have one at the plate, too. 

You could argue the bullpen is a wash, but the Dodgers have been elite in relief (2.19 FIP) and have all their best arms rested, whereas Cleveland closer Cade Smith threw 29 pitches in Monday’s series opener.

Guardians vs Dodgers SGP

Guardians vs Dodgers home run pick: Max Muncy (+330)

Bibee’s primary flaw is the home run ball. He allowed 1.33 HR/9 a year ago despite a 10-point uptick in groundball rate, so it’s definitely the L.A. side I want to target with a home run prop.

Max Muncy posted 16 of his 19 home runs off right-handed pitchers a season ago, tagging them for a 157 wRC+ with substantial power (.247 ISO).

He hits Bibee’s three-pitch mix against lefties (primarily four-seamers and change-ups with a dash of cutters) well, with decreased whiff rates and increased effectiveness against all three offerings.

2026 Transparency record

• Best bets: 3-0, +3.62 units
• SGPs: 1-2, +1.26 units
• HR picks: 0-3, -3.0 units

Guardians vs Dodgers odds

• Moneyline: Cleveland +220 | Los Angeles -270
• Run line: Cleveland +1.5 (-105) | Los Angeles -1.5 (-115)
• Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Guardians vs Dodgers trend

The Guardians have cashed the Under in 39 of their last 60 road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Guardians vs Dodgers and game info

Location
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

Date
Tuesday, March 31, 2026

First pitch
10:10 p.m. ET

TV
CLEG, SportsNet Los Angeles

Guardians starting pitcher
Tanner Bibee
(2025: 12-11, 4.25 ERA)

Dodgers starting pitcher
Shohei Ohtani
(2025: 1-1, 2.87 ERA)

Guardians vs Dodgers latest injuries

Guardians vs Dodgers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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