Jason Logan
• Senior Betting Analyst
21+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 1, 2026 , 11:41 AM ET
• 4 min read
Although the Kings have little to play for, veteran DeMar DeRozan isn’t lacking motivation when he visits Toronto tonight. Jason Logan sees a slim Sacramento lineup feeding a fresh DeRozan.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Sacramento Kings small forward DeMar DeRozan.
The Sacramento Kings have sunk to the bottom of the Western Conference, leaving little to play for.
However, my Kings vs. Raptors predictions forecast a motivated showing from veteran forward DeMar DeRozan when Sacramento wraps up its five-game road trip in Toronto.
Find out more about why our NBA picks like the setup for DeRozan on Wednesday, April 1.
Kings vs Raptors prediction
Kings vs Raptors best bet: DeMar DeRozan Over 17.5 points (-120)
DeMar DeRozan is one of the few Sacramento Kings stars still standing at this point in the season. With a laundry list of injuries around him, DeRozan’s usage has shot up this month, jumping to a team high 25.8% from 21.43% on the season.
He’s averaging 19 points over that stretch and posted 22 and 33 points in his last two games before sitting out Sunday’s trip to Brooklyn with a sore hamstring. That’s given DeRozan three full days off, bringing fresh legs and plenty of motivation to Toronto.
DeRozan started his career with the Toronto Raptors, and while he has a soft spot for the city, he’s gone after his former club.
For his career, DeRozan’s 22.5-point average against Toronto ranks fourth among all 30 NBA teams. In his last appearance at Scotiabank Arena, he dropped 33 points, and who knows how many more times the 17-year pro will return to Toronto.
If sticking it to the Raptors again wasn’t enough motivation to feed him the ball, DeRozan is just nine points away from 17th on the NBA’s All-Time scoring list and 51 points out of 16th.
Given his rest, usage, and motivations, I like the Kings vet to top 17.5 points tonight.
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Kings vs Raptors same-game parlay
Toronto is playing the second night of a back-to-back after a tough matchup in Detroit. The Raptors rarely cover spreads this big, going 6-0 SU but just 2-4 ATS as double-digit favorites this season.
Brandon Ingram was back in action last night after sitting out due to injury. He finished with 22 points but looked a little rusty from outside, shooting 1-for -6 from beyond the arc. He’ll get cleaner looks against a poor Sacramento perimeter defense.
Kings vs Raptors SGP
- Kings +13.5
- DeMar DeRozan Over 17.5 points
- Brandon Ingram Over 1.5 threes
Our “from downtown” SGP: Canadian Beef
DeRozan will get a warm welcome from the Toronto crowd, but they could be cursing him by the time the final whistle blows.
With the Kings’ rotation running paper-thin, he’ll get all the touches and minutes he wants tonight.
Kings vs Raptors SGP
- Kings +13.5
- DeMar DeRozan Over 17.5 points
- DeMar DeRozan Over 4.5 assists
- DeMar DeRozan Over 2.5 rebounds
Kings vs Raptors odds
- Spread: Kings +13.5 (-110) | Raptors -13.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Kings +600 | Raptors -900
- Over/Under: Over 226 (-110) | Under 226 (-110)
Kings vs Raptors betting trend to know
Toronto has gone Under the total in 31 of its last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Raptors.
How to watch Kings vs Raptors
Location
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date
Wednesday, April 1, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
NBCSCA, TSN
Kings vs Raptors latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.
Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.
He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.
On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason’s analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.
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