Todd Cordell
• Betting Analyst
12+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 11, 2026 , 11:24 AM ET
• 3 min read
Our NHL betting picks anticipate playoff-level intensity, and few goals coming across, when Philly visits Winnipeg tonight.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Winnipeg Jets defenseman Dylan Samberg.
The Philadelphia Flyers and Winnipeg Jets will clash in a high-stakes matchup between two teams that need points to improve their standing in the playoff race.
Both teams rely heavily on structure, defense, and goaltending. My Flyers vs. Jets predictions expect that to result in a low-scoring affair.
Let’s take a closer look at my NHL picks for Saturday, April 11.
Flyers vs Jets prediction
Flyers vs Jets best bet: Under 5.5 (-105)
The Philadelphia Flyers and Winnipeg Jets both profile as defense-first teams, playing at Bottom-10 paces while ranking Top-14 in suppressing shots and goals.
Factor in playoff implications, and there’s every reason to believe this one will be played tight to the vest. That’s been a consistent theme in Jets home games against plus-defensive teams.
When isolating home matchups in which the Jets are working on a day of rest and facing Top-10 defenses, an average of 5.22 goals have been scored. Seven of the nine games featured five goals or fewer.
That points toward another low-scoring game on Saturday night.
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Flyers vs Jets same-game parlay
Kyle Connor has averaged 3.8 shots on 7.7 attempts over his last six home games following a day of rest. With the Jets in desperate need of every possible point, his ice time could enter the mid 20s — giving the sniper plenty of time to put his shot to use.
Dylan Samberg has averaged 2.4 blocks over his last 10 games and cleared 1.5 in eight of them. He’ll see a steady dose of Philadelphia’s top offensive players, which means more time defending and jumping into shooting lanes.
Flyers vs Jets SGP
- Under 5.5
- Kyle Connor Over 2.5 shots on goal
- Dylan Samberg Over 1.5 blocked shots
Flyers vs Jets odds
- Moneyline: Philadelphia +110 | Winnipeg -130
- Puck line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-230) | Winnipeg -1.5 (+190)
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (+115) | Under 5.5 (-105)
Flyers vs Jets trend
The Jets have hit the Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.95 Units / 48% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Flyers vs. Jets.
How to watch Flyers vs Jets
Location
Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB
Date
Saturday, April 11, 2026
Puck drop
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
Sportsnet One
Flyers vs Jets latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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