Daniil Medvedev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for ATP Shanghai Masters 2025 Round of 32
Medvedev and Davidovich Fokina set for an intriguing Shanghai Masters clash.
The 16th seed, Daniil Medvedev, is set to clash with the 18th seed, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, in the third round of the Shanghai Masters 2025. Both received first-round byes, with Medvedev cruising past qualifier Dalibor Svrcina in straight sets, while Fokina upset Matteo Arnaldi with similar ease. Medvedev’s season has been a subtle mix of high-level consistency and elusive titles. Since Rome 2023, he has six runner-up finishes, including a loss to Alexander Bublik in Halle this year.
While early exits have peppered his calendar, his results remain strong, with semifinals in Marseille and Indian Wells, plus quarterfinals in Doha, Dubai, Madrid, Libema, and Washington. Most recently, he reached the quarterfinals in Hangzhou and the semifinals in Beijing, where he defeated Alexander Zverev before being forced to retire against Learner Tien due to cramps. Statistically, Medvedev remains dominant, producing 409 aces, winning 75% of first‑serve points, claiming 33% of return points, and converting 38% of 437 break points.
Fokina, meanwhile, is enjoying his best season yet, reaching a career-high world ranking of No. 18 in August and currently sitting at No. 20. The Spaniard has yet to capture an ATP singles title but boasts three finals appearances this year at Delray, Acapulco, and Washington. Highlights include a fourth-round run in Melbourne, semifinals in Monte Carlo and Eastbourne, and a quarterfinal in Barcelona. His campaign has also featured early exits and a mid-match retirement in Toronto. Fokina’s stats include 200 aces, 68% first-serve points won, 32% return points won, and a 45% break-point conversion rate from 456 opportunities.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head Record
Daniil Medvedev holds a 5-1 edge in his head-to-head against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The rivalry began in 2021 with a Russian victory, repeated three more times before Fokina claimed a breakthrough win in Canada last year. In their most recent meeting, Medvedev reasserted his dominance with a straight-sets triumph in Beijing.
YearRoundEventWinnerScore2025Round of 16BeijingDaniil Medvedev6-3, 6-32024Round of 32CanadaAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4, 1-6, 6-22024QuarterfinalDubaiDaniil Medvedev6-2, 6-32023QuarterfinalIndian WellsDaniil Medvedev6-3, 7-52023Round of 32RotterdamDaniil Medvedev4-6, 6-2, 6-22021Round of 32MadridDaniil Medvedev4-6, 6-4, 6-2
Daniil Medvedev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Comparison
Daniil MedvedevCategoryAlejandro Davidovich Fokina18Current Ranking20409-177Career W-L150-14130-20YTD W-L36-2220Career Titles01Grand Slams00YTD Titles0
Daniil Medvedev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Medvedev’s consistency and deep runs this season make him the favorite, but Fokina’s unpredictability and resilience could make this a tight contest. Regardless, the Russian has the edge, but his form throughout the season makes the match really dicey.
Prediction: Daniil Medvedev in straight sets
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Daniil Medvedev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Shanghai Masters 2025 Betting Odds
Daniil Medvedev (-184) is favored to advance, though Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (+150) could spring an upset with his dynamic form.
Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:
Daniil Medvedev: -184
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: +150
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel):
Set 1 Winner Medvedev: -148
Set 1 Winner Fokina: +122
Total Games Over 22.5: -110
Total Games Under 22.5: -120
Total Sets 2.5 Over: +132
Total Sets 2.5 Under: -180
(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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