ATP Montreal Best Bets Including Learner Tien Vs Gael Monfils

The ATP Montreal tournament continues with the Round of 64. The 1,000-point tournament is situated between Wimbledon and the U.S. Open in the middle of the summer tennis calendar. This 2026 ATP Montreal event lacks Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, and Novak Djokovic. It’s a wide-open tournament, and we are already seeing some of the wild and unpredictable results which occur when the big dogs aren’t around to establish order. Andrey Rublev lost to Juncheng Shang in a massive upset. Shang went off as a 3.84 moneyline underdog. Flavio Cobolli, who had such a great spring and early summer, got knocked out early. There’s still a whole week left in this tournament. It’s on to Wednesday’s card. LWOS has our best bets for three matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.
ATP Montreal
Titouan Droguet – Felix Auger-Aliassime: 19:00 EST
H2H: 0-1
This ATP Montreal match features the No. 2 seed at the tournament. Felix Auger-Aliassime is seeded second because of the absences of Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz. Alexander Zverev is the No. 1 seed. Auger-Aliassime will once again get a great reception from a French Canadian crowd eager to embrace him, but if you look at Felix’s history in Montreal, it’s not a story of conquest. It’s more a story of failure for a player who has yet to really fulfill his potential. Titouan Droguet posted a solid win earlier this week against Luca Van Assche in a three-set battle which went down to the wire in a match tiebreaker. Let’s see if he can follow that up with another good performance.
Best Bet to Make
Welcome to our best bet section. You’re going to get a collection of bets to consider, also a confidence level which should guide how much you should invest in this match.
Parlay/hedge options: Droguet +4.5 games at 1.60 at @1xbet, Auger-Aliassime moneyline at 1.25 at @betfair
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 4 – You should not bet more than half a unit on this match.
Auger-Aliassime is clearly the better player, playing in front of a supportive crowd. He should win in straight sets, but trusting Felix as a bettor is always fraught with peril, so don’t bet too heavily on this one.
That being said, betting on Auger-Aliassime winning 2:0 is the best bet you can make.
Value bet/ the best odds: Auger-Aliassime winning 2:0 at 1.70 @interwetten
Valentin Royer – Tommy Paul: 19:30 EST
H2H: 0-0
This ATP Montreal match is a really important one for Tommy Paul. He could not get past the third round of Roland-Garros or Wimbledon and needs a big run on North American hardcourts to salvage his 2026 season, which has not been particularly impressive. This is the time for Paul to stack some wins and build momentum. If he loses to Valentin Royer, it would be a stinging setback.
Learner Tien defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 in a BNP Paribas Open fourth-round match in Indian Wells, Calif., on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. | Source: Lastwordonsports.com – Jim Smith
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: Royer +5.5 games at 1.50 at @10bet, Paul moneyline at 1.20 at @1xbet
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 4 – you should not bet more than half a unit on this match.
Tommy Paul is clearly the better player. The sportsbooks have him as a heavy moneyline favorite for a reason. Yet, tennis bettors know that Paul never met a favorable situation he couldn’t make more complicated and messy. It’s a lot like Felix Auger-Aliassime: Bet on him since he is the better player, but you should rarely if ever bet a big amount. Start small and then bet bigger only if you bank a few wins first.
That being said, betting on Paul winning 2:0 is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Paul winning 2:0 @1.62 @1xbet
Learner Tien – Gael Monfils: 20:30 EST
H2H: 0-0
This ATP Montreal match is fascinating. The late-night match in French Canada presents Gael Monfils, a fan favorite everywhere in the world but especially in French-speaking tour stops such as this one. Monfils rode the wave and beat Kamil Majchrzak as an outright moneyline underdog earlier this week. Can he win again? Learner Tien is an exciting, rising young player who is generally better than Monfils right now, but he is still youthful and could get a little intimidated if Monfils is able to get the crowd going with an early surge.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: Tien moneyline at 1.36 at @WilliamHill, Tien -2.5 games at 1.55 at @10bet
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 1 – You should not bet on this match.
This match could go in any of several directions. It’s what we like to call a “live wire,” something which could unravel severely against either player. It’s not the kind of match to bet on. If you absolutely insist on betting, lean Monfils with a set or game spread, given how good he looked against Majchrzak.
That being said, betting on Monfils +1.5 sets is the best bet you can make.
Value bet/ the best odds: Monfils +1.5 sets @1.87 @unibet
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports



