UFC Vancouver Predictions – Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos Preview, Predictions And Betting Odds
The UFC Vancouver card continues with an intriguing middleweight battle between two Contender Series alumni seeking redemption. Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos brings together fighters who both tasted defeat in their most recent outings.
Barlow burst onto the UFC scene with a viral knockout against Josh Quinlan in his promotional debut back in 2024. However, his momentum came to a crashing halt when Sam Patterson knocked him out in the first round this past March. That loss marked the first defeat of Barlow’s professional career and served as a humbling reality check. Santos is still searching for his first UFC victory after dropping a unanimous decision to Ozzy Diaz in his promotional debut. Both fighters understand the stakes heading into Saturday night, as another loss could seriously jeopardize their UFC futures.
Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos Preview
Barlow brings a record of 9-1 and stands an impressive 6’2 tall with a massive 79 inch reach. He lands a whopping 5.62 significant strikes per minute at 50% accuracy, making him extremely active on the feet. Barlow only absorbs 3.70 strikes per minute as his striking defense sits at 51%. Where Barlow really stands out is takedown defense, sporting a perfect 100% success rate in stuffing opponents’ attempts. He’s never attempted a takedown himself in the UFC, preferring to keep fights standing. Barlow also has zero submission attempts.
Santos enters with a solid record of 10-2 and stands 6’0” tall with a 75 inch reach. He lands an astonishing 7.20 significant strikes per minute at 43% accuracy. The problem is Santos absorbs 5.87 strikes per minute and his striking defense checks in at just 49%. He averages 1.00 takedowns per fight at 40% accuracy, showing some wrestling ability when needed. His takedown defense is strong at 86%, making him difficult to hold down. Santos has zero submission attempts in the UFC despite his grappling background, as he’s opted to keep fights standing and trade punches.
Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos MMA Betting Odds
The betting markets have made up their mind on this matchup. According to FanDuel, Danny Barlow is a heavy favorite at -290. Meanwhile, Djorden Santos comes back as a significant underdog at +235. These odds reflect Barlow’s physical advantages and his viral knockout power from his debut.
Bet $5 Win $250 in Bonus Bets
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at +152. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is higher and the odds (-196) reflect that.
Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos Predictions And Picks
This fight will be decided by whether Barlow can maintain his range and pick Santos apart from distance. Barlow’s reach advantage is significant at middleweight and should allow him to land his jab repeatedly. His perfect takedown defense means Santos won’t find success taking this to the ground either.
Santos needs to pressure forward immediately and drag Barlow into close-range exchanges where his volume striking can overwhelm. The problem is Barlow’s length makes getting inside extremely difficult without eating shots. Santos’ high strike absorption rate is concerning against a knockout artist like Barlow.
If we bet on this fight, we are going with Danny Barlow to win via KO/TKO.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
(Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez – Imagn Images)
mma
I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
Read more
