ATP Australian Open quarterfinals
Zverev – Tien: 27.01.2026 03:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Zverev defeated Diallo in the opening round in four sets, after losing the opening set 6-7. In the second round, the German defeated Muller in four sets. He had a poor serving performance. In the third round, Zverev outlasted Norrie in four sets. He trailed 0-2 in the opening set, but turned it around. In the fourth round, Zverev demolished Cerundolo in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, Zverev dominated on his serve. Last season, the German finished as a runner-up, losing to Sinner in the final in straight sets.
Learner Tien has won five straight matches. This week in Melbourne, Tien defeated Giron in five sets and Shevchenko in four sets en route to the third round. In the third round, Tien defeated Borges in straight sets. He trailed 3-5 in the opening set, but turned it around. The American upset Medvedev in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. He played out of this world, as Medvedev mentioned. Last season in Melbourne, the American lost to Sonego in the fourth round in four sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in the 1/8-Final against Cerundolo and has more experience at the Grand Slam level than Tien. On the other hand, Tien dominated against Medvedev as well, but he did not have any weapons to match Zverev´s game. We believe Zverev will dominate in ground strokes and win.
That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Alcaraz – De Minaur: 27.01.2026 10:30 CEST
H2H: 5-0
Carlos Alcaraz has won six straight matches. This week in Melbourne, Alcaraz defeated Walton in the opening round in straight sets. The Spaniard offered only one breakpoint throughout the match. In the second round, Alcaraz defeated Hanfmann in straight sets. The Spaniard trailed 1-3 in the opening set, but turned it around. In the third round, Alcaraz demolished Moutet in straight sets. He has never made it past the quarterfinals here. In the 1/8-Finals, he defeated Paul in straight sets.
Alex de Minaur has won six straight matches. This week, the Australian defeated McDonald in straight sets easily. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. In the second round, de Minaur turned the match around against Medjedovic after losing the opening set 6-7. In the third round, the Australian defeated Tiafoe in straight sets. De Minaur defeated Bublik easily in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints. Last season at the Australian Open, de Minaur lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the heavy underdog in this matchup, and we agree. He did well so far in Melbourne. However, Alcaraz has much more powerful groundstrokes, so we expect him to dominate. The Spaniard leads 5-0 in head-to-head meetings, and we expect him to continue that winning streak.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
