The Memphis Grizzlies roster is hard to recognize these days, but the same can be said for the Warriors. Back Memphis to cover this lofty spread.
Feb 9, 2026 • 14:53 ET
• 4 min read
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Ty Jerome (2) dribbles the ball against Minnesota.
You’d think the Memphis Grizzlies would be the NBA’s version of a doormat with the combination of injuries and players leaving via trades, but these Grizz have a little fight in them.
Tonight, they’ll face another depleted roster in the Golden State Warriors, who are somehow 9.5-point favorites.
My Grizzlies vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks explain why that’s too many points for this Western Conference clash set to tip-off at 10:00 p.m. ET at the Chase Center on Monday, February 9.
Grizzlies vs Warriors prediction
Grizzlies vs Warriors best bet: Grizzlies +9.5 (-115)
No Steph, no Jimmy Buckets, and no Kristaps Porzingis means the Golden State Warriors have been struggling.
The no-Steph Curry thing has been the biggest problem, as the Warriors have averaged just 94.3 points in the four recent games their franchise player has missed.
The Memphis Grizzlies also have a roster that’s hard for even the biggest fan to recognize, but they’re putting up some good fights. The Grizz have averaged 122 points per game over their last five and are 3-1 ATS in their last four.
This is too many points to cover for a team that can’t score.
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Grizzlies vs Warriors same-game parlay
The Grizz have been surprisingly efficient recently, ranking sixth in offensive rating over the last five games.
The return of Ty Jerome has helped. After missing the entire season, he’s averaged 20 points in his first four games back, topping this 13.5 line three times.
Sophomore Jaylen Wells has also seen an uptick in production with added opportunities lately. Wells has topped 12.5 points in four straight games.
Grizzlies vs Warriors SGP
- Grizzlies +9.5
- Ty Jerome Over 13.5 points
- Jaylen Wells Over 13.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: The Replacements
This is how the Grizzlies have played in recent weeks. Team basketball, with everyone doing their part. Even if you don’t know everyone’s name.
Grizzlies vs Warriors SGP
- Ty Jerome Over 13.5 points
- Jaylen Wells Over 13.5 points
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 11.5 points
- Cam Spencer Over 11.5 points
Grizzlies vs Warriors odds
- Spread: Grizzlies +9.5 | Warriors -9.5
- Moneyline: Grizzlies +320 | Warriors -400
- Over/Under: Over 220.5 | Under 220.5
Grizzlies vs Warriors betting trend to know
The Warriors have covered the first-half spread in only 12 of their last 35 home games, resulting in -14.30 units and a -36% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Warriors.
How to watch Grizzlies vs Warriors
Location
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date
Monday, February 9, 2026
Tip-off
10:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN Southeast-Memphis, NBC Sports Bay Area
Grizzlies vs Warriors latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.
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