UFC Mexico: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh odds, what to know

Brandon Moreno is favored to rebound on home soil at UFC Fight Night 268.
Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh preview
Moreno (23-9-2 MMA, 11-6-2 UFC) was originally scheduled to face Asu Almabayev, who was forced out of their main event fight due to a hand injury. Replacing Almabayev is rising flyweight Lone’er Kavanagh (9-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC), who is ranked No. 15 in the UFC’s standings.
Moreno is coming off a TKO loss to Tatsuro Taira at UFC 323 in December. Prior to that, the former two-time champion scored back-to-back wins over Amir Albazi and Steve Erceg. Meanwhile, Kavanagh suffered his first-career loss when he was knocked out by Charles Johnson at UFC Fight Night 257 in August.
Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh odds
According to FanDuel, Moreno is a moderate -245 favorite against short-notice replacement Kavanagh, who is a +186 underdog.
How to watch Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh at UFC Fight Night 268
Where: Arena CDMX in Mexico City, Mexico
Broadcast/streaming: Paramount+
When: Saturday, Feb. 28, 2026




