2026 BNP Paribas Open: Etcheverry [31st] vs. Shapovalov [39th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

No. 31-ranked Tomas Martin Etcheverry will face No. 39 Denis Shapovalov in the BNP Paribas Open Round of 64 on Friday, March 6.

Shapovalov is favored (-190) against Etcheverry (+145) in this Round of 64 match.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 6:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Denis Shapovalov matchup info

• Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Friday, March 6
• Court Surface: Hard

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Etcheverry vs. Shapovalov Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Etcheverry has a 65.5% to win.

Etcheverry vs. Shapovalov Betting Odds

• Etcheverry’s odds to win match: +145
• Shapovalov’s odds to win match: -190
• Etcheverry’s odds to win tournament: +10000
• Shapovalov’s odds to win tournament: +6600

Etcheverry vs. Shapovalov matchup performance & stats

• Etcheverry is 15-12 on hard courts over the past 12 months.
• Etcheverry has won 24.9% of his return games on hard courts over the past 12 months, and 79.0% of his service games.
• Etcheverry has converted 38.8% of his break-point opportunities on hard courts (71 of 183) over the past year.
• Etcheverry won his previous tournament (the Rio Open presented by Claro), beating No. 68-ranked Alejandro Tabilo in the final 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 on February 22.
• Shapovalov has gone 17-14 through 15 tournaments on hard courts over the past 12 months, and he has won one title.
• Shapovalov has gone 288-for-381 in service games while playing on hard courts (75.6% winning percentage), and 111-for-375 in return games (29.6%).
• On hard courts Shapovalov ranks 14th in break point win percentage (46.5%) after going 99-for-213.
• On February 24, Shapovalov lost to No. 124-ranked Pablo Carreno Busta, 2-6, 4-6, in the Round of 32 of his most recent tournament, the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships.