The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/16-finals keep getting more interesting. Jodar is riding a strong wave of confidence and looks ready to keep his run going, while Opelka’s serve has been a huge weapon this week and could easily push his match with Fritz into long sets or tiebreaks.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/16-Finals
Jodar – Etcheverry: 22.03.2026 17:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Rafael Jodar has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Jodar qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, the Spaniard defeated Hanfmann in three sets. He demolished Vukic in the second round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all five breakpoints he offered.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has won four of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Indian Wells, the Argentine lost to Shapovalov in the opening match in three tight sets. This week in Miami, Etcheverry defeated Bergs in the opening match in two tiebreaks. Last season in Miami, he lost to Diallo in the opening match in straight sets. He has never made it past the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Jodar is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and one of the most significant upcoming Spanish talents. After demolishing Vukic in the second round, Jodar will be fully confident coming into this match. We expect him to be a better player tonight.
That being said, Jodar winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Rafael Jodar winning @1.67 @bet365
Opelka – Fritz: 22.03.2026 18:30 CEST
H2H: 1-7
Reilly Opelka has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Indian Wells, Opelka lost to Shelton in the second round in three tight sets. This week in Miami, Opelka won the opening match in three sets, after losing the opening set 6-7. In the second round, Opelka upset Draper in two tiebreaks. He had an outstanding serving performance, serving 25 aces and offering only one breakpoint. Last season in Miami, the American lost to Machac in the third round in straight sets.
Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Indian Wells, Fritz lost to Michelsen in the third round in straight sets. This week in Miami, Fritz defeated van de Zandschulp in three sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints. Last season in Miami, the American lost to Mensik in the semifinals in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Opelka is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated on his serve in both matches this week. Looking at their head-to-head meetings, it was always close with tiebreakers. We expect at least one tiebreak and possibly three sets.
That being said, over games is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 25.5 games @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
