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Sacramento Kings at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

The Sacramento Kings (19-55) face the Atlanta Hawks (41-33) from State Farm Arena on Saturday. Tip-off from Atlanta, Georgia, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Kings vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Hawks lead 1-0

The Orlando Magic handed Sacramento a 121-117 loss Thursday, though the Kings covered as 15.5-point road underdogs with the Over (231.5) cashing. F DeMar DeRozan put up 33 points and 11 assists, but it wasn’t enough to overcome Sacramento hitting 15 fewer free throws than the Magic. The Kings have lost back-to-back games and have given up at least 121 points in 4 straight losses.

Atlanta suffered a 109-102 loss to the Boston Celtics on Friday while failing to cover as a 5-point road underdog with the Under (223.5) hitting. F Jalen Johnson finished with 29 points, 1 of 3 Hawks to score at least 20. However, the Hawks were dominated by 17 on the glass while also giving up 62 points between just 2 players in the loss.

The Hawks embarrassed the Kings in a 133-100 outing on Nov. 12 while covering as 4-point road favorites with the Over (230.5) hitting. Johnson led the Hawks with 24 points and 10 boards, and C Onyeka Okongwu put up 21 points off the bench. Atlanta outscored the Kings 33-8 on the fast break.

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Kings at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kings +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Hawks -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings +14.5 (-105) | Hawks -14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kings at Hawks key injuries

Kings

  • G Nique Clifford (foot) questionable
  • C Drew Eubanks (thumb) out for season
  • G Killian Hayes (finger) questionable
  • F De’Andre Hunter (eye) out for season
  • G Zach LaVine (finger) out for season
  • F Keegan Murray (ankle) out
  • C Domantas Sabonis (knee) out for season
  • G Russell Westbrook (toe) out

Hawks

(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 123, Kings 108

PASS.

The Hawks are the much better team, so covering here as -1100 favorites won’t be a problem. However, betting on a team favored this heavily on the ML is never recommended, so pass and bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.

LEAN HAWKS -14.5 (-115).

Atlanta has covered the spread in 7 of its last 10 overall, sitting at 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games. The Hawks are also a much better 40-34 against the spread this season than Sacramento’s 29-43-2 ATS record. The Hawks are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 matchups with Sacramento, having covered in back-to-back meetings.

This is a LEAN because the Kings have covered the spread 2 of their last 3 on the road and because they are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 matchups against Atlanta.

BET UNDER 236.5 (-110).

The Under is 2-1 in Sacramento’s last 3 road games. The Under is also a much more dominant 8-2 in the last 10 matchups between these squads, having hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.

Be aware that the Over/Under is 5-5 in both teams’ last 10 games and that both teams have a perfectly even 37-37 O/U record this season.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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