The Boston Red Sox (18-25) visit the Atlanta Braves (30-14) Friday to open a 3-game interleague series at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. First pitch is is at 7:15 p.m. Let’s analyze MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025 season series: Tied 3-3
Boston lost 3-1 in the rubber match of its series with the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday, failing to cover as a -118 home favorite with the Under (7.0) hitting. The Red Sox’s only run came off the bat of RF Wilyer Abreu, in a failed rally attempt in the eighth inning.
Atlanta had a 4-game winning streak snapped with a 2-0 loss against the Chicago Cubs Thursday, failing to complete the sweep while also failing to cover as a -198 home favorite with the Under (7.5) hitting. The Braves were shut out for just the second time this season, leaving 7 runners on base and going 0-6 with runners in scoring position.
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Red Sox at Braves projected starters
LHP Connelly Early vs. RHP Spencer Strider
Early (3-2, 3.16 ERA) makes his ninth start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 42 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 2-0 home victory vs. Tampa Bay Rays Friday
- First career appearance against the Braves
Strider (1-0, 2.89 ERA) makes his third start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 6.8 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 in 9 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 7-2 road win against Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday
- Career vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 2.84 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 14.2 K/9 in 1 start
Red Sox at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Red Sox at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 4, Red Sox 3
BET BRAVES (-155).
Atlanta has won 4 of its last 5 games, holding opponents to 2 or fewer runs in each of its last 5 games. Strider is coming off one of the best outings of his career, holding the Dodgers to just 1 hit through 6 innings. If the Braves’ bats can provide run support, Strider will play his part en route to a home victory, where the Braves are 14-7.
The Red Sox have dropped 3 of their last 4 and have lost back-to-back series. They have scored just 1 run in 3 of their last 4 games and should be expected to have a tough time against Strider. With Early on the mound, though, they can keep it close.
PASS.
With the Braves’ scoring inconsistencies, the moneyline is the best play.
BET UNDER 8 (-120).
The Red Sox have hit the Under in 7 straight games and have a 2-8 O/U record in their last 10. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 5 games, and 4 or fewer in 8 of their last 10. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10.
The Braves have a 3-7 O/U record in their last 10 games. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in back-to-back games and in 6 of their last 9, while allowing 2 or fewer runs in each of their last 5 and 3 or fewer in each of their last 8.
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