Dan Johnson details his top Khalil Shakir player prop for the NFL Week 5 matchup between the Bills and Patriots on Sunday night.
The lights hit different when the ball finds Khalil Shakir. Sunday night in Orchard Park, he’s the pulse beneath the noise—a slot receiver with surgeon’s timing and a quarterback who trusts him to slice coverage clean. Every route hums with precision: whip releases against leverage, pivots through traffic, bursts that split zone seams before safeties can blink. Shakir isn’t just the Bills’ third option anymore; he’s their rhythm keeper, the bridge between Josh Allen’s chaos and control. In prime time, with space collapsing and the pocket alive, his timing becomes the quiet weapon that breaks open everything else There’s plenty of prop value in Shakir’s market tonight.
To wit—below, check out one of my favorite Khalil Shakir props to consider from this Sunday Night tilt.
Khalil Shakir 60+ receiving yards (+185)
There’s real merit in stretching the ladder to Khalil Shakir 60+ receiving yards (+185)—the math and tape both justify chasing that tail. His usage lives right on the edge of breakout volume, and this environment exaggerates every strength in his route tree. Shakir’s baseline sits at 47.5 yards per game, but the underlying profile screams expansion: he owns 16 catches for 190 yards and two touchdowns on just 20 targets, converting a remarkable 80% of his looks and generating 9.5 yards per target. That’s elite efficiency in a pass game averaging 240.5 yards per game (6th) and built on 70.2% completions from Josh Allen.
The opponent helps. New England allows 241.5 passing yards per game (26th) and a 71.2% completion rate (29th), plus a disastrous 8.1 yards per target to slot receivers, the exact corridor Shakir attacks. The Patriots’ back-end coverage has cracked under spacing stress—five passing touchdowns allowed to wideouts and a 16-play allowance of 20+ yards, both bottom-tier metrics. When defenses rotate to help on Stefon Diggs and cap Dalton Kincaid seams, Shakir’s intermediate windows open clean. He posted five catches for 69 yards and a touchdown last week, and his average depth of target (10.3 yards) keeps him in explosive range without requiring a single deep-ball connection.
The game script feeds volume. Buffalo’s offense runs through pace—6.1 yards per play, 37% of drives ending in scores, 33.3 points per game—and New England’s 31st-ranked red-zone defense forces soft zone cushions early in drives. Expect Allen to stack completions on play-action crossers and rhythm slants as the Patriots try to bottle James Cook’s 5.3 yards per carry. That dynamic pulls linebackers forward and clears Shakir’s sight lines. His yardage distribution already lives in the 45–75 band; add one extra explosive catch and 60+ clears easily. At +185, you’re buying proven role, stable efficiency, and an opponent that bleeds slot production. That’s strong value on a player trending toward steady WR2 usage in Buffalo’s orbit.
