Las Vegas enters at 20-9 and sits second in the league, while Atlanta is fourth at 18-10 after winning five consecutive games.
The teams met once earlier this season, with the Aces escaping Atlanta with an 85-84 victory on May 17. Chelsea Gray hit the winning jumper with 3.6 seconds remaining before sealing the result with a steal. Las Vegas has now won six straight meetings against the Dream and owns a 12-2 record in the series during the Becky Hammon era.
Aces vs. Dream WNBA Odds and Betting Trends
Atlanta opened as a slight underdog before the line moved toward the home side, reflecting respect for its current five-game winning streak. Still, Las Vegas has travelled extremely well, winning 11 of 15 road games this season.
Aces vs. Dream WNBA odds
The total has also climbed significantly, but the recent history between these clubs has been much lower-scoring. Their last five meetings produced 155, 159, 146, 156 and 169 combined points.
Las Vegas Aces
The Aces are coming off a heartbreaking 84-83 loss in Chicago, but their offence remains in excellent form. Over the past five games, Las Vegas owns a 120.2 offensive rating.
A’ja Wilson continues to drive everything. She scored 34 points with 12 rebounds against Chicago and has reached 30 points in three of her past four games. She is also one block away from moving into sole possession of sixth on the WNBA’s all-time list.
Las Vegas has been particularly effective away from home, leading the league in road field-goal percentage, field goals made and assists while averaging 92.6 points per game. NaLyssa Smith also provided a needed boost Saturday, finishing with 17 points and six rebounds.
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is the hotter team and has home-court advantage, but Las Vegas remains the more complete and proven side.
The Dream’s rebounding and paint scoring are legitimate concerns, yet Wilson gives the Aces the best player on the floor, and Las Vegas has enough size and rim protection to limit Atlanta’s interior advantage. The Aces also take better care of the basketball, an important factor against a Dream team that thrives on transition opportunities.
WNBA Prediction: Who Will Win Aces vs. Dream?
Las Vegas has enough size and rim protection to limit Atlanta’s interior advantage. The Aces also take better care of the basketball, an important factor against a Dream team that thrives on transition opportunities.
This should stay close, but the Aces’ road production, head-to-head success and motivation following Saturday’s buzzer-beating loss make them the better value.
Best Bet: Aces Money Line (+110)
Final Score Prediction: Aces 91, Dream 88
