The Miami Marlins (58-57) and Atlanta Braves (69-45) meet Thursday in the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia, is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 7-2
The Braves opened the series with a 4-2 win Tuesday and followed that up with a 4-1 victory Wednesday. SP Bryce Elder (7 IP, 1 ER) picked up the win. DH Drake Baldwin singled in the bottom of the second inning to drive home 2 runs and extend the lead to 3-0.
Atlanta, which sits atop the NL East, has ripped off 7 straight wins, having swept the Washington Nationals in a 4-game series prior to facing Miami. It has allowed a combined 10 runs across its last 5 games.
The Marlins are a familiar foe, sitting third in the NL East. They have gone 3-3 over their last 6 games. Miami beat the New York Mets in 3 of 4 outings on the road in its prior series.
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Marlins at Braves projected starters
RHP Janson Junk vs. LHP Martin Perez
Junk (5-6, 4.58 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 78 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-2 win at the New York Mets Friday
- 2026 road splits (6 starts): 3-3, 5.28 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 5 HR, 11 BB, 22 K
- Career vs. Braves (2 starts): 1-1, 8.10 ERA (10 IP, 9 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 2 HR, 0 BB, 8 K, 7.2 K/9
Perez (7-6, 3.24 ERA) makes his 18th start (22nd appearance). He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 97 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-3 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Saturday
- 2026 home splits (9 starts, 12 appearances): 4-4, 2.36 ERA (53 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 4 HR, 24 BB, 37 K
- Career vs. Marlins (5 starts, 6 appearances): 1-1, 3.68 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 5 HR, 9 BB, 26 K, 8.0 K/9
Marlins at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Marlins 3
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Braves (-150) to win outright is just a tad too expensive to consider here.
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+135).
The Marlins have not lost with grace over the past few weeks. Since July 18, they’ve gone 6-11 straight up, and each of those losses surprisingly came by more than one run. Miami has failed to cover in 2 of Junk’s last 3 starts as well.
The Braves, on the flip side, have been rocking and rolling. They have covered in 5 straight games and have a pitcher who is coming off one of his best starts of the season. Expect them to continue surging Thursday.
BET UNDER 9 (+100).
Neither side has been scoring with any consistency.
The Braves have gone Under in 7 of their previous 8 games and have scored more than 4 runs in just 3 of those contests. The Marlins have gone Under in 6 straight games and have topped just 2 runs in 2 of those outings.
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