Tyler Herro’s season has been a rollercoaster thanks to injuries, but he has a chance to gain some momentum against the Grizzlies.
Feb 21, 2026 • 12:50 ET
• 4 min read
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro (14) reacts after a shot.
The Memphis Grizzlies welcome the Miami Heat to town, who are playing on the tail end of a back-to-back after a loss in a big win in Atlanta on Friday night.
Tyler Herro was solid in his return, and I’m targeting him to find a roll offensively in my Grizzlies vs. Heat predictions.
Read more in my NBA picks for Saturday, February 21.
Grizzlies vs Heat prediction
Grizzlies vs Heat best bet: Tyler Herro Over 17.5 points (-110)
It’s been an injury-riddled campaign for Tyler Herro, who has only made 12 appearances. However, he’s still playing well when available.
The guard returned from a month-long absence on Friday evening and showed out off the bench, leading the Miami Heat with 24 points. Dating back to January 10, before he suffered an injury, Herro has cashed the Over in five straight appearances.
Herro has averaged 20.2 PPG on the road across six outings, and he averaged 21.5 points last season against the Memphis Grizzlies across two meetings.
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Grizzlies vs Heat same-game parlay
Bam Adebayo is averaging just 2.8 assists this season, but he’s cashed the Over in dimes in four straight appearances. The big man had five assists on Friday against Atlanta, and he’s hit the Over in three of his previous four games on the road.
Davion Mitchell is arguably the Heat’s top playmaker. In 47 games, he’s averaging 7.0 assists, and the Baylor product just dished out seven dimes against the Hawks.
He’s facilitating the ball at a very high level on the road, averaging 7.4 assists compared to 6.6 at home.
Grizzlies vs Heat SGP
- Tyler Herro Over 17.5 points
- Bam Adebayo Over 2.5 assists
- Davion Mitchell Over 6.5 assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Larsson cashing in
Pelle Larsson has cashed the Over in points in three of his previous four games.
Grizzlies vs Heat SGP
- Tyler Herro Over 17.5 points
- Bam Adebayo Over 2.5 assists
- Davion Mitchell Over 6.5 assists
- Pelle Larsson Over 10.5 points
Grizzlies vs Heat odds
- Spread: Memphis +10.5 (-110) | Miami -10.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Memphis +375 | Miami -500
- Over/Under: Over 235 (-110) | Under 235 (-110)
Grizzlies vs Heat betting trend to know
The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 29% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Heat.
How to watch Grizzlies vs Heat
Location
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Date
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN SE-MEM, FDSN SU
Grizzlies vs Heat latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.
After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.
Quinn’s favorite team is Chelsea FC and he’d like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.
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